Iran Poll: 77.5% Back Strait of Hormuz Control Despite US War Risk

Strait of Hormuz and the Islamabad Memorandum

The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world's most strategically significant maritime chokepoints, with roughly a fifth of global oil consumption transiting its waters. Iran has long asserted its authority over the waterway, and control of the strait has been a recurring flashpoint in US-Iran relations for decades.

The survey also probed public sentiment regarding the collapse of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding. When asked which side bears primary responsibility for its failure or violation, 37.1 percent blamed the United States, 14.4 percent pointed to Israel, and only 5.9 percent held Iran responsible. A significant portion of respondents did not attribute blame to any single party.

Negotiating Team and Retaliation Sentiment

Public evaluation of Iran's negotiating team proved more divided. While 40 percent rated its performance as good or very good, 32.2 percent described it as poor or very poor, and 8.2 percent considered it average. Notably, 19.7 percent declined to answer the question, suggesting a degree of uncertainty or reluctance to express an opinion on diplomatic efforts.

On the question of policy direction following recent reciprocal attacks, only 1.7 percent favored accepting US conditions, underscoring minimal appetite for concessions. The overwhelming preference for military confrontation over negotiation reflects a hardening of public attitudes amid the current crisis.

What Lies Ahead

The polling data, collected by what was described as a reputable polling institute, has drawn considerable attention within Iran and is likely to shape discussions around the government's next moves. With public opinion firmly behind a confrontational stance and strong confidence in the Armed Forces, the survey suggests limited domestic pressure for a diplomatic off-ramp. Whether these attitudes shift in the event of actual hostilities remains an open question.